Formation of a model for predicting the behavior of an enterprise in an unstable economic environment

Abstract

This article is devoted to the formation of a forecasting model for an enterprise in the context of unstable economic relations. Based on the analysis of literary sources, the concept of enterprise development and its behavior was considered, and three main approaches to the study of indicators of enterprise behavior were identified. The interrelation of the factors of the system of models for predicting the behavior of the enterprise has been formed. A system of analytical functions has been developed that create the structure of a model for predicting the behavior of an enterprise, which will allow analyzing the internal capabilities of an enterprise to changes in the external environment.

Este artículo está dedicado a la formación de un modelo de pronóstico para una empresa en el contexto de relaciones económicas inestables. A partir del análisis de fuentes literarias, se considera el concepto de desarrollo empresarial y su comportamiento, y se identifican tres enfoques principales para el estudio de indicadores de comportamiento empresarial. Se ha formado la interrelación de los factores del sistema de modelos para predecir el comportamiento de la empresa. Se ha desarrollado un sistema de funciones analíticas que crea la estructura de un modelo para predecir el comportamiento de una empresa, lo que permitirá analizar las capacidades internas de una empresa ante cambios en el entorno externo.